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April 2006
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| Jump to month < click calendar to navigate by day, week, or month. | Calendar Options » Display Current Week » Display All Analysis » Send to Friend » Bookmark Calendar » Calendar Time Zone* | Legend
| high impact
| medium impact
| low impact
Green | better than expected
Red | worse than expected
m/m | month over month
y/y | year over year
(p) | preliminary release
(f) | final release
Forex Calendar
Date | Time* | Currency | Data Released |  | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Info.
Mon. 03/27 | 7:00pm | USA | FOMC Meeting Begins |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), headed by Ben Bernanke, begins a two day meeting, held eight times per year, where they will make a decision on where to set the federal funds target rate.
Tue. 03/28 | 8:00am | GER | Ifo Business Climate Index |  | 105.4 | 102.2 | 103.4 | [read]
Investica Analysis A monthly increase in the index would support the Euro. Definition The Information and Forschung (Ifo) Business Climate Index measures the mood of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesale and retail. The index is derived from a monthly survey of over 7,000 firms where respondents are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. The indicator reading is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situations and the expectations, and can fluctuate between extreme values of -100 (i.e., all responding firms appraise their situation as poor or expect business to become worse) and +100 (i.e., all responding firms assessed their situation as good or expect an improvement in their business).
| 8:00am | GER | Ifo Business Expectations Index |  | 105.7 | 104.0 | 104.9 | [read]
Definition The Information and Forschung (Ifo) Business Expectations Index measures the mood of firms in regard to future expectations for the economy.
| 2:00pm | USA | Consumer Confidence |  | 107.2 | 102.0 | 101.7 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 6:15pm | USA | FOMC Interest Rate Statement |  | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.50% | [read]
Investica Analysis A 0.25% increase is likely. The Fed statement will be crucial. Merlin Says This is Bernanke's first meeting as Chairman, the market volatility should be sky high both before and after the statement. Definition The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the FOMC, headed by Ben Bernanke, makes a decision on where to set the federal funds target rate. The statement is released eight times per year and contains the latest rate decision, along with commentary on the state of the economy and how the FOMC intends to shift monetary policy in the future. The FOMC focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 10:50pm | JPN | Large Retailers' Sales y/y |  | -1.9% | -0.2% | -2.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in sales activity of Japan's largest retailers.
| 10:50pm | JPN | Retail Sales y/y |  | 1.0% | 0.7% | -0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
Wed. 03/29 | 7:30am | UK | Gross Domestic Product q/q (f) |  | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 7:30am | UK | Current Account |  | -11.0 | -6.4B | -10.2B | [read]
Investica Analysis A deficit above GBP10bn would unsettle Sterling. Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods, services, income, and current transfers. It's essentially a statement of the country's trade with other nations over a period of time.
| 9:00am | UK | CBI Distributive Trades Survey |  | -16 | -12 | -18 | [read]
Definition The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey measures short-term trends in the UK retail and wholesale distribution sectors. The survey reading is a respected barometer of trade as it tracks optimism, employment, prices, investment and stocks.
| 12:45pm | USA | New York Fed Pres. Geithner Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition New York Federal Reserve President Timothy Geithner will speak at the New York Fed Conference.
| 1:00pm | USA | Treasury Secretary Adams Testifies |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Treasury Under Secretary for International Affairs Timothy Adams will testify before the Senate Finance Committee, on economic relations with China.
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | 2.1M |  | -1.3M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 10:50pm | JPN | Industrial Production m/m |  | -1.7% | -0.1% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
Thu. 03/30 | 7:55am | GER | Unemployment Rate |  | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 12:30pm | USA | Gross Domestic Product q/q (f) |  | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | [read]
Investica Analysis Principal interest will surround the inflation data. Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 302K | 305K | 302K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Industrial Product Price Index m/m |  | -0.4% | -0.4% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the prices that manufacturers are paid as goods leave the plant gate. Unlike the CPI, the IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all the costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it, including the transportation, wholesale, and retail costs.
| 4:30pm | USA | St. Louis Fed President Poole Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition St. Louis Federal Reserve President William Poole will speak in Dayton Ohio.
| 5:30pm | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the 2006 Spring Membership Meeting organised by the Institute of International Finance in Zurich, Switzerland.
| 10:30pm | JPN | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 10:30pm | JPN | Household Spending y/y |  | -1.5% | -2.4% | -3.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the level of expenditure per household. Higher readings are a positive sign for the economy, as consumer spending accounts for half of Japan's GDP.
| 10:30pm | JPN | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 10:30pm | JPN | CPI excl. Fresh Food m/m |  | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition This indicator is a derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile fresh food items.
| 10:30pm | JPN | Tokyo Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers living in Tokyo, the nation's most populated city. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency. Tokyo CPI tends to have a greater market impact than National CPI because it's the most recent reading on inflation. Tokyo is relatively small population to survey and therefore results are reported about a month before national results.
| 10:30pm | JPN | Tokyo CPI excl. Fresh Food m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | [read]
Investica Analysis A strong figure would push the Bank of Japan towards an early interest rate increase. Definition This indicator is a derivative of the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile fresh food items. It tends to have a greater market impact because it's the most recent reading on inflation. Tokyo is relatively small population to survey and therefore results are reported about a month before national results.
| 11:30pm | AUS | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
Fri. 03/31 | 4:00am | JPN | Housing Starts y/y |  | 13.7% | 3.8% | -2.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed.
| 6:00am | GER | Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.6% | -0.2% | 1.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 8:30am | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the 15th European Regional Conference of the Board of Governors organised by the French friends of the Tel Aviv University in Paris, France.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Industrial Confidence |  | -1 | -2 | -2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of manufacturers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher indicator readings point to higher manufacturer optimism. When manufacturers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Consumer Confidence |  | -11 | -10 | -10 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Consumer Price Index y/y (p) |  | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis A rate above 2.32% would maintain pressure for another ECB interest rate increase. Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the annual change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 9:30am | UK | GfK Consumer Confidence |  | -7 | -4 | -4 | [read]
Investica Analysis Sterling will be vulnerable if confidence deteriorates significantly. Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly.
| 12:30pm | USA | Kansas City Fed Pres. Hoeing Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Kansas City Federal Reserve President Thomas Hoeing will speak about 2006 outlook in Missouri.
| 12:30pm | USA | Personal Income |  | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in average personal income received from all sources.
| 12:30pm | USA | Personal Spending |  | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | [read]
Investica Analysis The inflation figures in the spending data will be important. Definition Measures the total value of consumer purchases of goods and services over the past month. Consumer spending makes up a third of GDP and therefore a rising trend generally strengthens a country's currency.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Gross Domestic Product q/q |  | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | [read]
Investica Analysis Firm data would rerinforce expectations of at least one more BOC rate increase. Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 2:00pm | USA | Chicago PMI |  | 60.4 | 56.5 | 54.9 | [read]
Definition The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 2:00pm | USA | Factory Orders m/m |  | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the value of manufacturer's new orders for goods. A rising trend indicates a growing economy. This report gives more in-depth information than the durable goods report released about two weeks earlier.
Sun. 04/02 | 11:50pm | JPN | Tankan Large Manufacturers Index |  | 20 | 23 | 21 | [read]
Definition Measures the condition of large manufacturers in Japan. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) releases this indicator four times per year to provide an accurate picture of business trends. The Tankan Survey, which asks respondents about issues such as business conditions, supply and demand conditions for products and inventories, prices, sales, corporate profits, fixed investments and production capacity, and employment conditions, is one of the country's most respected gauges of economic welfare.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Tankan Non-Manufacturers Index |  | 18 | 18 | 17 | [read]
Definition Measures the condition of large service-based firms in Japan. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) releases this indicator four times per year to provide an accurate picture of business trends in the services sector.
Mon. 04/03 | 1:30am | AUS | Trade Balance |  | -0.6B | -1.9B | -2.7B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 7:55am | GER | Manufacturing PMI |  | 58.1 | 56.2 | 55.8 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Manufacturing PMI |  | 56.1 | 54.9 | 54.5 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:30am | UK | Manufacturing PMI |  | 50.8 | 51.9 | 51.7 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 11:00am | USA | Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Merlin Says Krozner is the newest member of the Fed, he took office on March 1st. Definition Federal Reserve Govorner Randall S. Kroszner will speak at a European Conference in Frankfurt.
| 2:00pm | USA | Construction Spending m/m |  | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of new construction projects.
| 2:00pm | USA | ISM Manufacturing Index |  | 55.2 | 57.5 | 56.7 | [read]
Investica Analysis The price component will be important for interest rate expectations. Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures growth in the manufacturing sector. To produce the index, the ISM surveys 400 manufacturing firms on employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. A reading above 50 indicates an expanding manufacturing sector.
| 8:00pm | USA | Domestic Vehicle Sales |  | 13.1M | 13.4M | 13.3M | [read]
Definition Measures the number of cars, light trucks, sport utility vehicles, and vans sold in the previous month. Motor vehicle sales are a good indicator of trends in consumer spending.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Monetary Base y/y |  | -1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in Japan's outstanding currency in circulation, including banknotes, coins, and current account balances. It uncovers the level of additional currency being supplied by the Bank of Japan. An increasing monetary base generally results in higher inflation.
Tue. 04/04 | 9:00am | E-12 | Unemployment Rate |  | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Producer Price Index m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by manufacturers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 10:30am | USA | Chicago Fed President Moskow Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Chicago Federal Reserve President Michael Moskow will speak at a European Conference in Frankfurt.
| 1:30pm | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will give concluding remarks at the joint conference of the ECB and the FRBC on “Issues related to Central Counterparty Clearing” in Frankfurt.
| 4:00pm | USA | Dallas Fed President Fisher Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher will speak about free enterprise in Texas.
| 4:45pm | USA | Richmond Fed Pres. Lacker Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker will speak at the Economic Roundtable of the Ohio Valley, in Parkersburg, West Virginia.
| 9:30pm | AUS | RBA Interest Rate Statement |  | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis Rates should be left unchanged Definition The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the RBA makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates (interest rate on overnight loans in the money market). The RBA focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
Wed. 04/05 | 12:45am | USA | Kansas City Fed Pres. Hoeing Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Hoenig will speak about the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy, in Kansas City, Missouri.
| 7:55am | GER | Services PMI |  | 56.6 | 58.0 | 57.8 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Services PMI |  | 58.2 | 58.4 | 58.2 | [read]
Investica Analysis A strong figure would reinforce ECB tightening expectations. Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:30am | UK | Services PMI |  | 57.4 | 58.5 | 58.9 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:30am | UK | Industrial Production m/m |  | -0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 1:30pm | USA | Bernanke Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Markets will be anxious for any hints on Fed policy. Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to speak at a financial literacy press conference, in Washington. There will be no audience questions.
| 2:00pm | USA | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index |  | 60.5 | 59.0 | 60.1 | [read]
Investica Analysis A weak employment component would damage the dollar Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index measures growth in various industries, including agriculture, mining, construction, transportation, communications, wholesale and retail trade. To produce the index, the ISM surveys 400 firms on employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. A reading above 50 indicates an expanding services sector.
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | 2.1M |  | 2.1M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
Thu. 04/06 | 12:45am | USA | Kansas City Fed Pres. Hoeing Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Hoenig will speak about US monetary policy, in Salina, Kansas.
| 1:30am | AUS | Unemployment Rate |  | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 1:30am | AUS | Employment Change |  | 27.0K | 10.5K | 25.9K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 4:00am | JPN | Coincident Index |  | 55.6% | 95.0% | 95.0% | [read]
Definition Measures current economic activity. A rising Coincident Index signals an expansion phase while a falling reading is a sign of a contraction phase.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Retail PMI |  | 47.2 | 50.1 | 49.6 | [read]
Definition The Retail Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the retail sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 11:00am | UK | BOE Interest Rate Statement |  | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis Rates should be unchanged. Definition The Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee Interest Rate Decision is released shortly after a meeting in which the BOE, headed by Mervyn King, makes a decision on where to set the short-term interest rate (base rate). The BOC focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 11:45am | E-12 | ECB Interest Rate Statement |  | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis Principal attention should focus on the ECB press conference. Definition The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the ECB, headed by Jean-Claude Trichet, makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates (refinancing rate). The ECB focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 299K | 305K | 302K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 2:00pm | CAN | Ivey PMI |  | 67.2 | 60.9 | 59.5 | [read]
Definition The Ivey Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the value of purchases made by Canadian companies. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's purchases were higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month. The 175 survey participants are carefully selected geographically and by sector of activity to match the Canadian economy as a whole. An index reading above 50 indicates expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
Fri. 04/07 | 6:00am | GER | Trade Balance |  | 13.1B | 12.9B | 12.5B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 11:00am | CAN | Unemployment Rate |  | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 11:00am | CAN | Employment Change |  | 50.5K | 22.5K | 24.7K | [read]
Investica Analysis The data should retain a firm bias. Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 12:30pm | USA | Nonfarm Employment Change |  | 211K | 185K | 243K | [read]
Investica Analysis The dollar will be very vulnerable on a weak figure. Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 12:30pm | USA | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Fed will be watching the earnings data closely. Definition Measures the monthly change in the hourly rate paid to the jobholders indicated in nonfarm payrolls.
| 7:00pm | USA | Consumer Credit m/m |  | 3.3B | 2.8B | 3.9B | [read]
Definition Consumer Credit measures the monthly growth in outstanding consumer installment credit. It gives insight into the state of consumer finances and can act as a leading indicator of consumer spending.
Mon. 04/10 | 8:30am | UK | Producer Price Index Input m/m |  | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) Input measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when buying goods and services. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by manufacturers.
| 8:30am | UK | Producer Price Index Output m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) Output measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when selling goods and services. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services sold by manufacturers.
| 12:15pm | CAN | Housing Starts |  | 252K | 232K | 241K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed throughout the previous month.
| 12:30pm | USA | Fed Governor Olson Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Mark Olson speaks on Risk Management in Washington.
| 12:45pm | USA | Fed Governor Bies Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Susan Schmidt Bies speaks on Risk Management in Washington.
Tue. 04/11 | 6:00am | JPN | BOJ Monetary Policy Report |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Bank of Japan (BOJ) monthly Monetary Policy Report covers recent economic and financial developments that may effect the Bank's interest rate posture and open market operations.
| 8:30am | UK | Trade Balance |  | -6.5B | -5.8B | -5.7B | [read]
Investica Analysis Exports will be an important focus after recent poor survey data. Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 9:00am | GER | ZEW Economic Sentiment |  | 62.7 | 65.4 | 63.4 | [read]
Investica Analysis Another solid report is likely. Definition Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) Economic Sentiment measures institutional investor sentiment. The monthly indicator reflects the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. For example, if 30% of participants expect the economic situation to improve within the next six months, 30% expect no change and 40% expect the economic situation to deteriorate, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment would take a value of -10. Thus, a positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists.
| 9:00am | E-12 | ZEW Economic Sentiment |  | 58.7 | 63.3 | 61.1 | [read]
Definition Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) Economic Sentiment measures institutional investor sentiment. The monthly indicator reflects the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. For example, if 30% of participants expect the economic situation to improve within the next six months, 30% expect no change and 40% expect the economic situation to deteriorate, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment would take a value of -10. Thus, a positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists.
| 6:00pm | USA | Minneapolis Fed President Stern Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Gary H. Stern will speak in Berlin about economic policy.
| 11:50pm | JPN | M2+CD Money Supply y/y |  | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in Japan's outstanding currency. M2+CD is calculated as follows: M1 = currency in circulation + overnight deposits M2+CD = M1 + Quasi-Money (Time Deposits etc.) + CDs
| 11:50pm | JPN | Current Account |  | 2.2T | 2.2T | 0.7T | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods, services, income, and current transfers. It's essentially a statement of the country's trade with other nations over a period of time.
Wed. 04/12 | 6:00am | GER | Consumer Price Index m/m (f) |  | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 8:30am | UK | Claimant Count Change |  | 12.6K | 7.0K | 14.6K | [read]
Definition Measures the change in number of people claiming unemployment related benefits over the previous month. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weight on the economy.
| 8:30am | UK | Average Earnings Index +Bonus q/y |  | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | [read]
Definition The Average Earnings Index (AEI) measures the average wage, including bonuses, paid to employees. The indicator reading represents the change in the current quarter when compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
| 8:30am | UK | ILO Unemployment Rate |  | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | [read]
Investica Analysis A sharp unemployment rise would increase pressure on the Bank of England. Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Gross Domestic Product q/q (f) |  | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Gross Domestic Product Forecast |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The European Commission's twice-annual Gross Domestic Product Forecast covers the euro area and the EU as a whole, the individual EU Member States, acceding and candidate countries, and other major economies outside the EU. These are short-term projections of the main macroeconomic variables over the next two years.
| 12:30pm | USA | Trade Balance |  | -65.7 | -67.0B | -68.5B | [read]
Investica Analysis The dollar's underlying strength will be tested by the report. Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Trade Balance |  | 6.3B | 6.2B | 6.3B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | 3.2M |  | 2.1M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
Thu. 04/13 | 12:30pm | CAN | Manufacturing Shipments |  | -2.2% | 0.4% | -0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of all filled manufacturing orders over the previous month. The reading is derived from the Monthly Survey of Manufacturing (MSM).
| 12:30pm | USA | Export Prices m/m |  | 0.2% | -0.2% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for exported goods.
| 12:30pm | USA | Import Prices m/m |  | -0.4% | 0.1% | -0.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 12:30pm | USA | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.6% | 0.5% | -1.4% | [read]
Investica Analysis Seasonal volatility is liable to continue. Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 12:30pm | USA | Retail Sales excl. Autos m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.5% | -0.6% | [read]
Definition Derivative of Retail Sales that excludes the volatile Automobile Sales component.
| 12:30pm | USA | Business Inventories |  | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the value of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. When compared to sales, the level of inventories can be a leading indicator of near term production activity.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 313K | 300K | 299K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 1:45pm | USA | Consumer Sentiment (p) |  | 89.2 | 89.5 | 88.9 | [read]
Investica Analysis Markets will be looking for evdence of whether high energy prices are hurting confidence. Definition Measures consumer attitudes concerning both the present situation and future expectations. It's derived from a monthly 500-person survey conducted by the University of Michigan. Higher sentiment levels are a leading indicator of rising consumer spending, which accounts for a third of the economy.
| 5:00pm | USA | Fed Governor Kohn Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Donald Kohn will speak in Oklahoma City about US economic outlook.
| 7:45pm | USA | Fed Governor Bies Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Susan Schmidt Bies will speak in Los Angeles with business leaders.
| 9:30pm | USA | Fed Governor Olson Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Mark Olson will speak in Arkansas about US economy.
Fri. 04/14 | 5:00am | JPN | BOJ Meeting Minutes |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the bank's meeting held about one month earlier.
| 8:00am | all | Holiday: Good Friday |  |  |  |  | [read]
Merlin Says The Forex market as a whole will be open, but your broker may close for a period. This creates a situation where you could have a position in the open market but not have access to close your position or place orders. Make sure you check the schedule of your specific broker and plan accordingly. Forex volume should be very light. Definition Banks will remain open on Good Friday, while most other major US and European markets will be closed.
| 1:15pm | USA | Industrial Production m/m |  | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
| 1:15pm | USA | Capacity Utilization Rate |  | 81.3% | 81.5% | 81.2% | [read]
Merlin Says The fed said in their last statement that "possible increases in resource utilization...have the potential to add to inflation pressures." This is the main gauge for resource utilization so the market may give it added weight on this release. Definition Measures the percentage of available resources being utilized among factories, mines and utilities. A rising rate signals that resources are being utilized to their fullest capacity, which is a leading indicator of inflationary pressures.
Mon. 04/17 | 4:30am | JPN | Industrial Production m/m (f) |  | -1.2% | -1.7% | -1.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
| 5:00am | JPN | Consumer Confidence |  | 48.7 | 49.1 | 49.9 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | Empire Manufacturing Index |  | 15.8 | 23.8 | 31.2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of manufacturers in New York State. The New York Fed conducts this monthly survey that asks roughly 175 manufacturing executives to rate their business on an assortment of indicators, concerning both the present situation and future expectations.
| 12:30pm | USA | Fed Vice Chairman Ferguson Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger W. Ferguson will speak in Atlanta at the Risk Conference.
| 1:00pm | USA | TIC Report |  | 86.9B | 60.5B | 66.0B | [read]
Definition The Treasury International Capital (TIC) Report measures foreign demand for US debt and assets. Strong demand tends to strengthen the dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase US securities.
| 6:00pm | USA | Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Randall S. Kroszner will speak in Atlanta at the Risk Conference.
Tue. 04/18 | 12:30pm | USA | Producer Price Index m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.4% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by manufacturers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | PPI excl. Food and Energy m/m |  | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis Strong underlying data would increase pressure for furtehr Fed tightening. Definition Derivative of the Producer Price Index (PPI) that excludes the volatile Food and Energy items.
| 12:30pm | USA | Housing Starts |  | 1.96M | 2.05M | 2.12M | [read]
Investica Analysis This report could be very important for the dollar. Definition Measures the number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed throughout the previous month.
| 12:30pm | USA | Building Permits m/m |  | 2.06M | 2.07M | 2.18M | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
| 3:00pm | USA | Chicago Fed President Moskow Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Chicago Federal Reserve President Michael Moskow will speak in Michigan about the auto industry.
| 3:45pm | USA | San Fran Fed President Yellen Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition San Francisco Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen will speak to the Bay Area Council in San Jose, California, about the US economy. Audience questions expected.
| 6:00pm | USA | FOMC Meeting Minutes |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Markets will be on alert for signs of splits within the Fed. Definition The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the committee's meeting held about two weeks earlier. The minutes give traders insight into the latest interest rate decision and policy shifts.
Wed. 04/19 | 8:30am | UK | BOE Meeting Minutes |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis A 9-0 vote would support near-term Sterling confidence. Definition The Bank of England (BOE) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the bank's meeting held about two weeks earlier. The minutes give traders insight into the latest interest rate decision and policy shifts.
| 12:30pm | USA | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | CPI excl. Food and Energy m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition This indicator is a derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile Food and Energy items.
| 12:30pm | CAN | International Securities Transactions |  | 2.1B | 1.9B | 3.0B | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly value of domestic securities, debt and assets purchased by foreigners. Strong demand tends to strengthen the Canadian dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase Canadian securities.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Leading Indicators m/m |  | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic activity by combining ten indicators that lead cyclical activity in the economy and together represent all major categories of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | -0.8M |  | 3.2M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Trade Balance |  | 978B | 725B | 950B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
Thu. 04/20 | 1:30am | AUS | RBA Bulletin |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Bulletin is a monthly publication that contains economic commentary, feature articles, speeches and a set of statistical tables.
| 8:30am | UK | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis A figure way off expectations will be needed to provoke Bank of England action. Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 8:30am | UK | Retail Price Index m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition The Retail Price Index (RPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by retailers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by retailers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis A figure above 0.6% would reinforce expectations of a tough ECB stance. Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 11:00am | CAN | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.4% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 11:00am | CAN | CPI excl. Volatile Items m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Bank of Canada is likely to tighten next week unless the data is very weak. Definition This indicator is a derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the eight most volatile items.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 303K | 310K | 313K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 2:00pm | USA | Leading Indicators |  | -0.1% | 0.1% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic activity by combining ten indicators including factory workweek, new orders for consumer goods, new orders for nondefense capital goods, stock prices, initial jobless claims, vendor performance, building permits, money supply, consumer expectations and the spread between the 10-year note and the federal funds rate. Many of the components were previously reported which minimizes the indicator's market impact. The Conference Board publishes this indicator monthly.
| 4:00pm | USA | Philadelphia Fed Index |  | 13.2 | 15.0 | 12.3 | [read]
Investica Analysis The figure is vulnerable to considerable monthly volatility Definition Measures the mood of manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve District. The Philadelphia Fed conducts a monthly survey that asks respondents to rate their business on an assortment of indicators, concerning both the present situation and future expectations. The survey results are converted into a general index of business and manufacturing conditions within the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Tertiary Industry Index m/m |  | -1.5% | -1.0% | 2.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in production activity in Japan's service industries. Traders watch this indicator closely, as a rising trend generally leads to higher overall economic growth.
| 11:50pm | JPN | All Industries Index m/m |  | -0.9% | -1.1% | 1.4% | [read]
Definition Adds data from the primary sector (including fishing, farming, forestry, mining, and manufacturing) to the Tertiary Industry Index.
Fri. 04/21 | 1:30am | AUS | Import Prices q/q |  | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Wholesale Sales m/m |  | -1.1% | -0.2% | 1.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the wholesale level.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Retail Sales excl. Autos m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.4% | [read]
Definition Derivative of Retail Sales that excludes the volatile Automobile Sales component.
Mon. 04/24 | 1:30am | AUS | Producer Price Index q/q |  | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers. The reading represents the quarterly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by manufacturers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 8:30am | UK | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 10:00am | GER | Industrial Production m/m |  | 1.0% | 0.5% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
| 9:30pm | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak in New York at a conference organised by the Council on Foreign Relations.
Tue. 04/25 | 6:00am | GER | Import Price Index m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 8:00am | GER | Ifo Business Climate Index |  | 105.9 | 105.0 | 105.4 | [read]
Investica Analysis A weak reading would increase pressure for Euro gains to be capped. Definition The Information and Forschung (Ifo) Business Climate Index measures the mood of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesale and retail. The index is derived from a monthly survey of over 7,000 firms where respondents are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. The indicator reading is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situations and the expectations, and can fluctuate between extreme values of -100 (i.e., all responding firms appraise their situation as poor or expect business to become worse) and +100 (i.e., all responding firms assessed their situation as good or expect an improvement in their business).
| 8:00am | GER | Ifo Business Expectations Index |  | 105.5 | 104.3 | 105.7 | [read]
Definition The Information and Forschung (Ifo) Business Expectations Index measures the mood of firms in regard to future expectations for the economy.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Current Account |  | -5.6B | -1.0B | -3.3B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods, services, income, and current transfers. It's essentially a statement of the country's trade with other nations over a period of time.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Trade Balance |  | -3.1B | -3.3B | -10.8B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 10:00am | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Indicator |  | -11 | -14 | -16 | [read]
Definition The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Industrial Trends Indicator measures the level of optimism within manufacturing firms. It's derived from a monthly survey conducted by CBI where the balance of responses from firms saying they are 'more' or 'less' optimistic about the future than in the previous month. The indicator reading tends to correlate with annual GDP growth.
| 1:00pm | CAN | BOC Interest Rate Statement |  | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.75% | [read]
Definition The Bank of Canada (BOC) Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the BOC, headed by David Dodge, makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates (overnight rate). The BOC focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 2:00pm | USA | Consumer Confidence |  | 109.6 | 105.5 | 107.2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 2:00pm | USA | Existing Home Sales |  | 6.9M | 6.7M | 6.9M | [read]
Definition Measures the number of previously constructed homes that were sold last month. Existing Home Sales make up a larger portion of the housing market than New Home Sales, and therefore are an important indicator of trends in the housing market. This indicator is published monthly by the National Association of Realtors.
Wed. 04/26 | 1:30am | AUS | Consumer Price Index q/q |  | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis The figure should not be strong enough to trigger an immediate central bank response. Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the quarterly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 6:00am | GER | GfK Consumer Confidence |  | 5.5 | 5.1 | 5.1 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly.
| 8:30am | UK | Gross Domestic Product q/q |  | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | [read]
Investica Analysis The services sector growth will be important for the economy. Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Industrial Production m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Industrial New Orders m/m |  | 2.7% | 0.8% | -5.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of future deliveries to be provided by a producer to a third party. This leading indicator points to how busy producers will be in following months as they work to fill the orders.
| 12:30pm | USA | Durable Goods Orders |  | 6.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | [read]
Investica Analysis The report remaains errratic on a short-term view. Definition Measures the monthly increase in new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for hard goods. The reading points to how busy manufacturers will be in the months to come as they work to fill the orders.
| 2:00pm | USA | New Home Sales |  | 1.21M | 1.13M | 1.08M | [read]
Definition Measures the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month.
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | -0.2M |  | -0.8M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 6:00pm | USA | Beige Book |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Inflation components will be watched closely. Definition The Beige Book provides a look at how regional Federal Reserve branches view the economy in their area. It is produced two weeks before the monetary policy meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), who uses the book's anecdotal evidence to help determine the path for interest rates.
Thu. 04/27 | 8:00am | GER | Unemployment Rate |  | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 11:55am | GER | Employment Change |  | -40K | -35K | 30K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 315K | 305K | 303K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 2:00pm | USA | Bernanke Testifies |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Bernanke should take a firm stance, but the dollar will be vulnerable on soft comments. Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress on the U.S. economic outlook, in Washington.
| 2:30pm | USA | Fed Governor Olson Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Mark Olson will speak about Banking in Ohio.
| 11:30pm | JPN | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 11:30pm | JPN | Household Spending y/y |  | -2.1% | -0.1% | -1.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the level of expenditure per household. Higher readings are a positive sign for the economy, as consumer spending accounts for half of Japan's GDP.
| 11:30pm | JPN | Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.0% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 11:30pm | JPN | Tokyo Consumer Price Index m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.1% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers living in Tokyo, the nation's most populated city. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency. Tokyo CPI tends to have a greater market impact than National CPI because it's the most recent reading on inflation. Tokyo is relatively small population to survey and therefore results are reported about a month before national results.
| 11:30pm | JPN | Tokyo CPI excl. Fresh Food m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.1% | -0.1% | [read]
Investica Analysis A strong figure would reinforce expectations of a June/July increase in interest rates. Definition This indicator is a derivative of the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile fresh food items. It tends to have a greater market impact because it's the most recent reading on inflation. Tokyo is relatively small population to survey and therefore results are reported about a month before national results.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Industrial Production m/m (p) |  | 0.2% | 0.2% | -1.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis Export gains should offer support Definition Measures the monthly change in total output of factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend generally indicates a strengthening economy.
Fri. 04/28 | 5:00am | JPN | BOJ Interest Rate Statement |  | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | [read]
Merlin Says There is a chance that the BOJ raises rates during this meeting. This would end a five year zero-interest-rate policy and would have a huge impact on the currency markets. Most analysts, however, expect the policy shift to come later this year. The time listed for this event is tentative so watch for changes. Definition The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the BOJ Monetary Policy Committee, headed by Toshihiko Fukui, makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates. The BOJ focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 6:00am | GER | Retail Sales m/m |  | -2.7% | 0.4% | -1.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 8:00am | E-12 | M3 Money Supply y/y |  | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the Eurozone's outstanding currency. The indicator is developed by comparing year over year currency levels. M1 = currency in circulation + overnight deposits M2 = M1 + deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years + deposits redeemable up to 3 months' notice M3 = M2 + repurchase agreements + money market fund shares/units and money market paper + debt securities issued up to 2 years
| 9:00am | E-12 | Industrial Confidence |  | 1 | -1 | -1 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of manufacturers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher indicator readings point to higher manufacturer optimism. When manufacturers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Consumer Confidence |  | -10 | -10 | -11 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Consumer Price Index y/y (p) |  | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers. The reading represents the annual estimated change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 9:30am | UK | GfK Consumer Confidence |  | -4 | -6 | -7 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy and strengthens the country's currency.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Gross Domestic Product m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | Gross Domestic Product q/q |  | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | [read]
Investica Analysis A strong figure appears highly likely. Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the value of all goods and services produced by the economy. The reading represents the quarterly change in value. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of an economy's health. It therefore can have a significant impact on the value of a country's currency.
| 12:30pm | USA | GDP Deflator q/q |  | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis Fed interest will surround the price deflators Definition The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator measures the implicit rate of inflation for all economic activity. The deflator is used to calculate the difference between nominal and real GDP, and is the economy's broadest measure of inflation.
| 1:45pm | USA | Consumer Sentiment (f) |  | 87.4 | 89.0 | 89.2 | [read]
Definition Measures consumer attitudes concerning both the present situation and future expectations. It's derived from a monthly 500-person survey conducted by the University of Michigan. Higher sentiment levels are a leading indicator of rising consumer spending, which accounts for a third of the economy.
| 2:00pm | USA | Chicago PMI |  | 57.2 | 58.3 | 60.4 | [read]
Definition The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
Mon. 05/01 | 7:00am | E-12 | Holiday: Labor Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition French, German, and Italian financial markets will be closed in observance of Labor Day. Forex markets will remain open.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Industrial Product Price Index m/m |  | 0.8% | 0.4% | -0.4% | [read]
Definition The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the prices that manufacturers are paid as goods leave the plant gate. Unlike the CPI, the IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all the costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it, including the transportation, wholesale, and retail costs.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Raw Materials Price Index m/m |  | 0.8% | 2.1% | -3.2% | [read]
Definition The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures price changes for raw materials purchased by industries in Canada for further processing.
| 12:30pm | USA | Personal Income |  | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in average personal income received from all sources.
| 12:30pm | USA | Personal Spending |  | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | [read]
Investica Analysis Principal interest will surround the inflation data. Definition Measures the total value of consumer purchases of goods and services over the past month. Consumer spending makes up a third of GDP and therefore a rising trend generally strengthens a country's currency.
| 2:00pm | USA | Construction Spending m/m |  | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of new construction projects.
| 2:00pm | USA | ISM Manufacturing Index |  | 57.3 | 55.0 | 55.2 | [read]
Investica Analysis The employment component will be watched closely. Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures growth in the manufacturing sector. To produce the index, the ISM surveys 400 manufacturing firms on employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. A reading above 50 indicates an expanding manufacturing sector.
| 5:00pm | USA | Atlanta Fed President Guynn Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Atlanta Federal Reserve President Jack Guynn will speak to the Rotary Club in Tennessee about the US economic outlook. Media questions expected.
| 11:50pm | JPN | Monetary Base y/y |  | -7.2% | 0.0% | -1.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in Japan's outstanding currency in circulation, including banknotes, coins, and current account balances. It uncovers the level of additional currency being supplied by the Bank of Japan. An increasing monetary base generally results in higher inflation.
Tue. 05/02 | 12:00am | USA | Minneapolis Fed President Stern Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Gary Stern will speak in Minneapolis to the Society of American Business Writers and Editors.
| 7:55am | GER | Manufacturing PMI |  | 58.1 | 58.8 | 58.1 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Manufacturing PMI |  | 56.7 | 56.9 | 56.1 | [read]
Investica Analysis Euro gains will not show up in this month's data Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:30am | UK | Manufacturing PMI |  | 54.0 | 51.5 | 50.8 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the manufacturing sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 10:00am | UK | CBI Distributive Trades Survey |  | 2 | -5 | -7 | [read]
Definition The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey measures short-term trends in the UK retail and wholesale distribution sectors. The survey reading is a respected barometer of trade as it tracks optimism, employment, prices, investment and stocks.
| 11:00pm | JPN | Holiday: May Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Japanese financial markets will be closed in observance of May Day. Forex markets will remain open.
| 11:30pm | AUS | RBA Interest Rate Statement |  | 5.75% | 5.50% | 5.50% | [read]
Investica Analysis Rates should be left on hold Definition The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the RBA makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates (interest rate on overnight loans in the money market). The RBA focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
Wed. 05/03 | 8:30am | UK | CIPS Construction PMI |  | 53.7 | 54.2 | 54.7 | [read]
Definition The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the construction sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Unemployment Rate |  | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Producer Price Index m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers. The reading represents the monthly change in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by manufacturers. Higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates, which tend to strengthen the country's currency.
| 2:00pm | USA | Factory Orders m/m |  | 4.2 | 4.0% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the value of manufacturer's new orders for goods. A rising trend indicates a growing economy. This report gives more in-depth information than the durable goods report released about two weeks earlier.
| 2:00pm | USA | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index |  | 63.0 | 59.7 | 60.5 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index measures growth in various industries, including agriculture, mining, construction, transportation, communications, wholesale and retail trade. To produce the index, the ISM surveys 400 firms on employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. A reading above 50 indicates an expanding services sector.
| 2:30pm | USA | EIA Crude Oil Inventories |  | 1.7M |  | -0.2M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 4:00pm | USA | Bernanke Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Bernanke could feel pressured to comment on interest rates. Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak in Washington about revitalizing communities at a local economic summit. No audience questions expected.
| 11:00pm | JPN | Holiday: Between Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Japanese financial markets will be closed in observance of Between Day. Forex markets will remain open.
Thu. 05/04 | 7:55am | GER | Services PMI |  | 57.3 | 57.1 | 56.6 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:00am | E-12 | Services PMI |  | 58.3 | 58.7 | 58.2 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 8:30am | UK | Services PMI |  | 59.7 | 57.6 | 57.4 | [read]
Investica Analysis Markets will want confirmation of the manufacturing data. Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the services sector. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 9:00am | E-12 | Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.8% | -0.5% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend indicates higher consumer spending, which is an important driver of the economy.
| 11:00am | UK | BOE Interest Rate Statement |  | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis Rates should be left unchanged. Definition The Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee Interest Rate Decision is released shortly after a meeting in which the BOE, headed by Mervyn King, makes a decision on where to set the short-term interest rate (base rate). The BOC focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 11:45am | E-12 | ECB Interest Rate Statement |  | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis The press conference following the decision should be the most important element. Definition The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Interest Rate Statement is released shortly after a meeting in which the ECB, headed by Jean-Claude Trichet, makes a decision on where to set short-term interest rates (refinancing rate). The ECB focuses heavily on inflation, as their stated mission is to achieve price stability. They generally raises rates to fight rising inflation, and lower rates in the face of deflation or economic slowdown.
| 12:00pm | USA | Fed Governor Bies Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Susan Schmidt Bies will speak in Florida about the Market Risk Amendment.
| 12:30pm | USA | Nonfarm Productivity q/q |  | 3.2% | 2.8% | -0.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly growth in labor efficiency for producing goods and services outside the farming sector. A rising trend indicates future inflationary pressures as manufacturers raise prices in response to an at-capacity factory environment.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unit Labor Costs q/q |  | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | [read]
Merlin Says Bernanke has been talking a lot about labor inflation so this data could have a larger effect than usual. Definition Measures the quarterly growth in the labor cost of producing output. A rising trend indicates future inflationary pressures as the labor cost of producing goods rises.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Claims |  | 322K | 310K | 315K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A rising trend indicates a deteriorating labor market, which can weigh on the economy.
| 12:30pm | CAN | Building Permits m/m |  | 5.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in total value of construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
| 2:00pm | CAN | Ivey PMI |  | 55.7 | 61.5 | 67.2 | [read]
Definition The Ivey Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the value of purchases made by Canadian companies. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's purchases were higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month. The 175 survey participants are carefully selected geographically and by sector of activity to match the Canadian economy as a whole. An index reading above 50 indicates expansion. PMI is believed to be a leading indicator because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance.
| 11:00pm | JPN | Holiday: Children's Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Japanese financial markets will be closed in observance of Children's Day. Forex markets will remain open.
Fri. 05/05 | 1:30am | AUS | RBA Quarterly Statement |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) Quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy qualitatively and quantitatively assess current economic conditions, prospects for inflation, and output growth.
| 1:30am | AUS | Trade Balance |  | -1.55 | -1.35B | -0.60B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between total imports and total exports of goods. A positive reading means that more goods were exported than imported over the previous month. The Trade Balance has a sizable impact on GDP and at extremes can directly influence the country's currency value.
| 8:30am | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the Frankfurt Chamber of Industry and Commerce in Frankfurt.
| 11:00am | E-12 | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the conference “Financial statistics for a global economy” - Third European Central Bank conference on statistics in Frankfurt.
| 11:00am | CAN | Unemployment Rate |  | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 11:00am | CAN | Employment Change |  | 22K | 15.2K | 50.5K | [read]
Investica Analysis A strong figure would reinfrce expectations of further interest rate increases. Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 12:30pm | USA | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. Rising unemployment is a sign of a slowing economy.
| 12:30pm | USA | Nonfarm Employment Change |  | 138K | 200K | 211K | [read]
Investica Analysis Recent evidence suggests the underlying figure should be firm. Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Employment growth will generally strengthen a country's currency, as it is one of the most important indicators of economy health.
| 12:30pm | USA | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Fed willl be looking at earnings data closely. Definition Measures the monthly change in the hourly rate paid to the jobholders indicated in nonfarm payrolls.
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