Forex Forums | Forex Calendar

» Log in
User Name: Password: Remember Me?
Not a member yet?
» Visit Our Sponsor
December 2006
| S | M | T | W | T | F | S
> | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 1 | 2
> | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9
> | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
> | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23
> | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30
> | 31 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6
| Jump to month < click calendar to navigate by day, week, or month. | Calendar Options » Display Current Week » Display All Analysis » Send to Friend » Bookmark Calendar » Calendar Time Zone* | Legend
| high impact
| medium impact
| low impact
Green | better than expected
Red | worse than expected
m/m | month over month
y/y | year over year
(p) | preliminary release
(f) | final release
Forex Calendar
Date | Time* | Currency | Data Released |  | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Info.
Mon. 11/27 | tentative | AUD | New Home Sales m/m |  | 1.3% | 1.0% | -3.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month.
| tentative | JPY | BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Toshihiko Fukui will meet with local business executives in Osaka and speak at an event held by Osaka University.
| 10:00am | JPY | BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Toshihiko Fukui will speak at a press conference held by Osaka Universiy.
| 1:00pm | NZD | Business Confidence |  | -14.0 | -19.0 | -21.7 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of businesses in regard to economic expectations. It's derived from a monthly survey of 1,500 businesses conducted by the National Bank of New Zealand.
Tue. 11/28 | 12:50am | JPY | Retail Sales y/y |  | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Consumer spending makes up a large portion of GDP, and Retail Sales makes up one-third of consumer spending. This indicator is usually the first of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to big surprises.
| 12:50am | JPY | Large Retailers' Sales y/y |  | -1.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in sales value and volume of Japan's largest retailers.
| 2:00am | JPY | BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Toshihiko Fukui will speak at a press conference in Nagoya.
| 2:30am | AUD | RBA Economist Richards Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Head of Economic Analysis Dr. Tony Richards will give a speach about 'Measuring Underlying Inflation', in Sydney.
| 8:00am | EUR | German Consumer Confidence |  | 9.4 | 10.0 | 9.2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| tentative | CHF | Consumption Indicator |  | 1.960 |  | 1.883 | [read]
Definition Measures private consumption trends by considering new car sales, business conditions in the retail sector, the number of overnight hotel stays, the consumer sentiment index, and certain credit card transactions. UBS publishes this indicator monthly, leading official statistics by up to three months.
| 10:00am | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y |  | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in currency outstanding. Higher levels of currency are viewed as deflationary and can have a devaluing effect on the currency . M3 Money Supply is calculated as follows: M1 = currency in circulation + overnight deposits M2 = M1 + deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years + deposits redeemable up to 3 months' notice M3 = M2 + repurchase agreements + money market fund shares/units and money market paper + debt securities issued up to 2 years
| 2:30pm | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m |  | -8.3% | -5.0% | 8.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis There will be a sharp headline drop as transport orders decline. Definition Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for hard goods with a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. While most indicators tell what happened in the past, Durable Goods Orders paints a picture of the future. It uncovers how busy manufacturers will be in the months to come as they work to fill new orders, and a busy manufacturing industry is a positive sign that the economy is expanding.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |  | -1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition Derivative of Durable Goods Orders that excludes the Transportation components. Orders for aircraft occur in periodic burst and can severely distort the underlying trend, so traders tend to focus more on this indicator than the overall Durable Goods Orders.
| 4:00pm | USD | Consumer Confidence |  | 102.9 | 106.4 | 105.4 | [read]
Investica Analysis Recent confidence data has been weaker than expected. Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 4:00pm | USD | Existing Home Sales m/m |  | 6.24M | 6.20M | 6.18M | [read]
Definition Measures the annualized number of existing homes sold in the previous month. Existing Home Sales make up a larger portion of the housing market than New Home Sales, and therefore are an important indicator of trends in the housing market. This indicator is published monthly by the National Association of Realtors.
| 4:00pm | USD | Richmond Fed Index |  | 7 |  | -2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of manufacturers in the Richmond Federal Reserve District. The Richmond Fed conducts a monthly survey that asks respondents to rate their business on an assortment of indicators, concerning both the present situation and future expectations. The survey results are converted into a general index of business and manufacturing conditions within the Richmond Federal Reserve district.
| 6:30pm | USD | Philly Fed President Plosser Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Charles Plosser will speak about the economy, in Rochester New York. Audience questions expected.
| 6:30pm | USD | Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis A concentration on weakening growth would hurt the dollar. Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak to members of the National Italian American Foundation, in New York.
| 10:45pm | NZD | Building Consents |  | -1.9% |  | 4.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
Wed. 11/29 | 12:50am | JPY | Industrial Production m/m |  | 1.6% | -0.8% | -0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can predict manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income.
| 1:30am | AUD | Construction Work Done q/q |  | -2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly change in building and engineering construction work done. The reading is derived from the quarterly Building Activity Survey.
| 1:30am | AUD | Trade Balance |  | -1.3B | -0.98B | -0.65B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. As higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this foreign demand.
| 10:30am | GBP | Net Lending to Individuals m/m |  | 10.9B | 9.9B | 9.8B | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly growth in outstanding consumer installment credit, including mortgages. It gives insight into the state of consumer finances and can act as a leading indicator of consumer spending.
| 11:30am | CHF | Leading Index m/m |  | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic activity through a qualitative business survey about developments in the recent past, the current situation and expectations for the next three to six months. Survey questions relate to production, orders and stocks of finished goods. The Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research (KOF) publishes this indicator monthly.
| 2:30pm | CAD | IPPI m/m |  | -0.1% | 0.5% | -1.6% | [read]
Definition The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the rate of inflation for goods as they are leaving the plant gate. Unlike other inflation measures, the IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it, such as transportation, wholesale, and retail costs.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Current Account |  | 5.1B | 3.2B | 4.2B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers. The Current Account is a comprehensive accounting of the nation's trade with other countries. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Current Account includes the previously reported Trade Balance (which covers trade of goods and services), so the market's focus for this indicator is on the income flows and unilateral transfers.
| 2:30pm | USD | GDP Annualized q/q (f) |  | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | [read]
Investica Analysis Housing investment will be important Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and considered to be the primary gauge of an economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. A strong economy also persuades the central bank to raise interest rates in an attempt to control growth. All of this activity will increase demand for the nation's currency.
| 2:30pm | USD | GDP Deflator Annualized q/q (f) |  | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | [read]
Definition The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator measures the annualized quarterly implied rate of inflation for all economic activity. The deflator is used to calculate the difference between nominal and real GDP. The Federal Reserve takes special note of this indicator because it is the economy's broadest measure of inflation.
| 3:00pm | USD | NY Fed President Geithner Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition New York Federal Reserve President Timothy Geithner will speak about the securities industry, in New York.
| 4:00pm | USD | New Home Sales m/m |  | 1.00M | 1.02M | 1.08M | [read]
Investica Analysis The prices trend will also be important Definition Measures the monthly change in the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  | -0.3M |  | 5.1M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 7:30pm | EUR | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the 18th Jean Monnet Memorial Lecture, in London.
| 8:00pm | USD | Beige Book |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Provides a look at how regional Federal Reserve branches view the economy in their area. It is produced two weeks before the monetary policy meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), who uses the book's anecdotal evidence to help determine the path for interest rates.
Thu. 11/30 | 1:30am | AUD | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Consumer spending makes up a large portion of GDP, and Retail Sales makes up one-third of consumer spending. This indicator is usually the first of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to big surprises.
| 6:00am | JPY | Housing Starts y/y |  | 2.2% | -0.4% | 4.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed.
| 6:00am | JPY | Small Business Confidence |  | 50.8 |  | 49.8 | [read]
Definition Small Business Confidence measures the mood of Japanese small businesses. Higher indicator readings point to higher optimism. When small businesses are optimistic, they tend to spend more, therefore strengthening the country's currency.
| 7:45am | CHF | CPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 9:55am | EUR | German Unemployment Rate |  | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 11:00am | EUR | CPI y/y (p) |  | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 11:00am | EUR | Consumer Confidence |  | -7 | -7 | -8 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 11:00am | EUR | GDP q/q (p) |  | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and considered to be the primary gauge of an economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. A strong economy also persuades the central bank to raise interest rates in an attempt to control growth. All of this activity will increase demand for the nation's currency.
| 11:30am | GBP | Consumer Confidence |  | -7 | -5 | -5 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 12:00pm | GBP | CBI Distributive Trades Survey |  | -9 | 2 | -4 | [read]
Definition The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey measures short-term trends in the UK retail and wholesale distribution sectors. The survey reading is a respected barometer of trade as it tracks optimism, employment, prices, investment and stocks.
| 2:30pm | CAD | GDP m/m |  | -0.3% | -0.1% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and considered to be the primary gauge of an economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. A strong economy also persuades the central bank to raise interest rates in an attempt to control growth. All of this activity will increase demand for the nation's currency.
| 2:30pm | USD | Personal Income m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in average personal income received from all sources.
| 2:30pm | USD | Personal Spending m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of consumer purchases of goods and services over the past month. Consumer spending makes up two thirds of GDP and therefore a rising trend generally strengthens a country's currency.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Fed watches the PCE data closely Definition Derivative of the PCE Price Index that excludes the Food and Energy items. Food and Energy account for roughly 25% of PCE, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the overal picture. PCE with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  | 357K | 315K | 321K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 4:00pm | USD | Chicago PMI |  | 49.9 | 55.0 | 53.5 | [read]
Investica Analysis The figure will be important as a weak reading last month undermined confidence in the economy. Definition The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion.
| 11:30pm | AUD | Manufacturing PMI |  | 54.4 |  | 51.9 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
Fri. 12/01 | 12:30am | JPY | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 12:30am | JPY | CPI m/m |  | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 12:30am | JPY | Tokyo CPI m/m |  | -0.5% | -0.1% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers living in Tokyo, the nation's most populated city. Tokyo CPI tends to have a greater market impact than national CPI because it gives traders the most recent reading on consumer inflation. Tokyo is a relatively small population to survey, allowing CPI to be compiled faster and released about one month before national results.
| 12:30am | JPY | Core Tokyo CPI m/m |  | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Derivative of the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the Fresh Food items. Fresh Food purchases can be volatile from month to month and can distort the overall picture, so CPI with the exclusion of this volatile component is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend.
| 7:45am | CHF | GDP q/q |  | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and considered to be the primary gauge of an economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. A strong economy also persuades the central bank to raise interest rates in an attempt to control growth. All of this activity will increase demand for the nation's currency.
| 9:30am | CHF | SVME PMI |  | 67.0 | 63.4 | 62.3 | [read]
Definition The Schweizerischer Verband für Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME) Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 9:55am | EUR | German Manufacturing PMI |  | 58.3 | 58.2 | 58.2 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:00am | EUR | Manufacturing PMI |  | 56.6 | 57.2 | 57.0 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Manufacturing PMI |  | 52.6 | 53.8 | 53.7 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 11:00am | EUR | Unemployment Rate |  | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 1:00pm | CAD | Unemployment Rate |  | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 1:00pm | CAD | Employment Change |  | 22K | 15K | 51K | [read]
Investica Analysis Recent monthly employment data has been erratic. Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The number of new jobs being created is one of the most important indicators of the economy's health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises.
| 3:00pm | USD | Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Markets will look to see if there is any different emphasis from Bernanke from comments earlier this week. Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak at the Research Forum on Monetary Policy, in Washington DC.
| 3:30pm | USD | Philly Fed President Plosser Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Charles Plosser will speak at a conference on economic growth and development, in Philadelphia Pennsylvania.
| 4:00pm | USD | Construction Spending m/m |  | -1.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of new construction projects.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Manufacturing Index |  | 49.5 | 52.0 | 51.2 | [read]
Investica Analysis The weak Chicago report has increased the importance of the data Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices |  | 53.5 | 50.0 | 47.0 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Price Index measures the monthly inflation experienced by manufacturing organizations when purchasing materials and services. The ISM surveys 400 firms to produce this index.
| 7:45pm | USD | Richmond Fed President Lacker Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Richmond Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker will speak at the Philadelphia Fed conference, in Philadelphia Pennsylvania.
Sat. 12/02 | 1:30am | USD | Fed Governor Kohn Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Federal Reserve Governor Donald Kohn will speak at the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy, in Washington DC.
Mon. 12/04 | 12:30am | AUD | TDMI Inflation Gauge m/m |  | 0.2% |  | 0.0% | [read]
Definition The TD Securities Melbourne Institute (TDMI) Inflation Gauge measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. The Melbourne Institute, in conjunction with TD Securities, releases this indicator monthly. This is a much more timely indicator then the official quarterly CPI.
| 12:50am | JPY | Monetary Base y/y |  | -22% | -22% | -21% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in Japan's outstanding currency in circulation, including banknotes, coins, and current account balances. It uncovers the level of additional currency being supplied by the Bank of Japan. An increasing monetary base generally results in higher inflation.
| 1:30am | AUD | Building Approvals m/m |  | -7.4% | -1.0% | 6.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
| 10:30am | GBP | Construction PMI |  | 54.8 | 57.2 | 58.1 | [read]
Definition The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the construction sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 11:00am | EUR | PPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.5% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
| 3:00pm | USD | Chicago Fed President Moskow Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Chicago Federal Reserve President Michael Moskow will give an interview on a CNBC webcast.
| 5:30pm | EUR | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at the 3rd High-level Seminar of the Eurosystem and Latin American Central Banks, in Madrid.
Tue. 12/05 | 1:30am | AUD | Current Account |  | -12.1 | -10.6B | -13.2B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Current Account is a comprehensive accounting of the nation's trade with other countries. It includes the previously reported Trade Balance (which covers trade of goods and services), so traders focus on the income flows and unilateral transfer portions of the report.
| 9:55am | EUR | German Services PMI |  | 56.8 | 54.0 | 54.0 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:00am | EUR | Services PMI |  | 57.6 | 56.5 | 56.5 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Services PMI |  | 59.8 | 58.0 | 59.3 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 11:00am | EUR | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.4% | -0.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the change in value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy. Retail Sales can have a high market impact because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to surprises.
| 12:00pm | GBP | BRC Retail Sales y/y |  | 0.5% |  | 2.6% | [read]
Definition The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Monitor measures the change in value of sales at surveyed retailers.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unit Labor Costs q/q (f) |  | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the relationship between compensation per hour and productivity, or output per hour minus inflation. Higher hourly compensation increases unit labor costs; labor productivity improvements offset compensation increases and lower unit labor costs. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When businesses pay more for labor, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so traders view wage inflation as a leading indicator of consumer inflation.
| 2:30pm | USD | Nonfarm Productivity q/q (f) |  | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the annualized quarterly growth in labor efficiency for producing goods and services outside the farming sector. A rising trend indicates future inflationary pressures as manufacturers raise prices in response to an at-capacity factory environment.
| 3:00pm | CAD | Interest Rate Statement |  | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% | [read]
Investica Analysis The bank statement will be important Definition Canada's central bank, the Bank of Canada (BOC), releases an Interest Rate Statement eight times per year. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("overnight rate"), a brief report of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and most importantly, clues on what the next rate decision will be. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index |  | 58.9 | 55.0 | 57.1 | [read]
Investica Analysis The manufacturing contraction has increased the importance of the services figure. Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices |  | 55.6 | 52.5 | 51.9 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Price Index measures the monthly inflation experienced by non-manufacturing organizations when purchasing materials and services. The ISM surveys 400 firms to produce this index.
| 4:00pm | USD | Factory Orders m/m |  | -4.7% | -3.5% | 2.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods. Factory Orders tend to have a low impact because it reports much of the same information contained in the Durable Goods Orders report released over a week earlier.
| 11:30pm | AUD | Interest Rate Statement |  | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | [read]
Investica Analysis A change in rates would be a big surprise Definition Australia's central bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), releases an Interest Rate Statement on the first Tuesday of the month. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("cash rate"), a brief report of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and most importantly, clues on what the next rate decision will be. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
Wed. 12/06 | 1:01am | GBP | Consumer Confidence Index |  | 89 | 96 | 98 | [read]
Definition The Nationwide Consumer Confidence Index (NCCI) measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future.
| 1:30am | AUD | GDP q/q |  | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | [read]
Investica Analysis Recent data has been slightly disappointing. Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and considered the primary gauge of an economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. More importantly, the central bank is likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy. The combination of these effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency.
| 6:00am | JPY | Leading Index m/m |  | 50.0 | 50.0% | 18.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic health by combining ten indicators including average weekly hours, new orders, consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate spreads. The Leading Index is published monthly by The Conference Board, a private US research group, but traders tend to pay little attention because the components that make up the index are reported at an earlier date.
| 10:00am | EUR | German Retail PMI |  | 53.7 |  | 53.8 | [read]
Definition The Retail Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the retail sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Industrial Production m/m |  | -0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 10:30am | GBP | Manufacturing Production m/m |  | -0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by manufacturers. Manufacturing Production differs from Industrial Production in that it only measures the 13 sub-sectors of production that relate directly to manufacturing. Manufacturing industries make up about 80% of total Industrial Production.
| 12:00pm | EUR | German Factory Orders m/m |  | -1.1% | 0.6% | -2.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for hard goods with a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes.
| 2:15pm | USD | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change |  | 158K |  | 128K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month, excluding the farming industry. ADP, a leading provider of employment solutions for businesses, releases this indicator two days before the highly anticipated official Nonfarm Employment Change. ADP claims that this indicator has predictive value in regard to official statistics, but it hasn't yet gained acclaim from traders due to it's short history.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Building Permits |  | 6.1% | -1.0% | -2.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
| 4:00pm | CAD | Ivey PMI |  | 52.8 | 59.0 | 59.5 | [read]
Definition The Ivey Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers from all sectors of the economy, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  | -4.1M |  | -0.3M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 5:00pm | USD | Iraq Study Group Report |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Iraq Study Group will present its report to President George W. Bush and Congress, as well as to the public.
| 9:00pm | NZD | Interest Rate Statement |  | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% | [read]
Definition New Zealand's central bank, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), releases an Interest Rate Statement eight times per year. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("cash rate"), a brief report of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and most importantly, clues on what the next rate decision will be. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
Thu. 12/07 | 1:30am | AUD | Employment Change |  | 36K | 10K | -32K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The number of new jobs being created is one of the most important indicators of the economy's health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises.
| 1:30am | AUD | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 7:00am | JPY | Machine Tool Orders y/y |  | 4.8% |  | 7.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the value of new orders place for machine tools, which includes capital goods that are used in the production of many such products as motor vehicles and their parts, electrical products, aircrafts and their parts, and dyes and molds.
| 7:45am | CHF | Unemployment Rate |  | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 1:00pm | GBP | Interest Rate Statement |  | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | [read]
Investica Analysis There is very little chance that rates will be changed Definition The central bank's governing body, the Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee, releases an Interest Rate Statement each month. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("Bank rate"). A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
| 1:45pm | EUR | Interest Rate Statement |  | 3.50% | 3.50% | 3.25% | [read]
Investica Analysis There is a very strong probability of an increase in rates. Definition The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council releases an Interest Rate Statement each month. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the euro area's short term interest rate ("minimum bid rate"). A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
| 2:30pm | EUR | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis 2007 policy hints will be important Definition European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak at a press conference following the Governing Council's meeting in Frankfurt. The ECB Interest Rate Statement is void of commentary, so traders usually focus on Trichet's post-release press conference for clues about future rate decisions. Because these clues can sometimes be obscure, the market tends to experience heavy volatility during this press conference.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  | 324K | 325K | 357K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 4:30pm | GBP | Leading Index m/m |  | -0.1% |  | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic health by combining ten indicators including average weekly hours, new orders, consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate spreads. The Leading Index is published monthly by The Conference Board, a private US research group, but traders tend to pay little attention because the components that make up the index are reported at an earlier date.
| 9:00pm | USD | Consumer Credit m/m |  | -1.2B | 3.5B | -1.2B | [read]
Definition Measures the change in outstanding consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because historically consumer borrowing and spending have a high degree of correlation.
Fri. 12/08 | 12:50am | JPY | M2+CD Money Supply y/y |  | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in currency outstanding. Higher levels of currency are viewed as deflationary and can have a devaluing effect on the currency. M2+CD is calculated as follows: M1 = currency in circulation + overnight deposits M2+CD = M1 + Quasi-Money (Time Deposits etc.) + CDs
| 6:00am | JPY | Core Machinery Orders m/m |  | 2.8% | 6.6% | -7.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of new orders placed with machine manufacturers, excluding volatile orders.
| 8:00am | JPY | Eco Watchers Survey |  | 48.9 | 51.5 | 50.8 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. A reading above 50 signals an improvement in sentiment.
| 8:00am | EUR | German Trade Balance |  | 17.3B | 14.9B | 15.6B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 12:00pm | EUR | German Industrial Production m/m |  | -1.4% | 0.5% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 2:15pm | CAD | Housing Starts |  | 225K | 220K | 223K | [read]
Definition Measures the annualized number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed throughout the previous month.
| 2:30pm | USD | Nonfarm Employment Change |  | 132K | 125K | 92K | [read]
Investica Analysis Revisions to previous data will be important Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month, excluding the farming industry. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The number of new jobs being created is one of the most important indicators of the economy's health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 2:30pm | USD | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Fed will be watching the earnings data closely. Definition Measures the rate of inflation found in the wages paid to nonfarm jobholders. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When businesses pay more for labor, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so traders view wage inflation as a leading indicator of consumer inflation.
| 4:00pm | USD | Consumer Sentiment (p) |  | 90.2 | 92.0 | 92.1 | [read]
Definition Measures consumer attitudes concerning both the present situation and future expectations. It's derived from a monthly 500-person survey conducted by the University of Michigan. Higher sentiment levels are a leading indicator of rising consumer spending, which accounts for a third of the economy.
Sun. 12/10 | 10:45pm | NZD | Merchandise Terms of Trade q/q |  | -1.9% | 0.0% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Measures trade inflation by calculating the volume of imports that can be bought with an equal volume of exports. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because it means domestic inflation is higher than abroad.
Mon. 12/11 | 1:01am | GBP | Rightmove House Price Index m/m |  | -0.3% |  | 1.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the average asking price of residential properties. Rightmove, the UK's leading property website, publishes this indicator in the same month the data is collected, making it a leading indicator of inflation in the housing sector.
| 6:00am | JPY | Consumer Confidence |  | 48.7 | 48.8 | 48.2 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 10:30am | GBP | PPI Input m/m |  | 0.1% | 0.3% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) Input measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
| 10:30am | GBP | PPI Output m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) Output measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when selling goods and services. Manufacturers are unlikely to pass Output inflation to the consumer, so it has much less market impact than its PPI Input counterpart.
| 10:30am | GBP | Trade Balance |  | -6.3B | -6.2B | -6.6B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 2:30pm | CAD | New Housing Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | [read]
Definition The New Housing Price Index (NHPI) measures monthly changes in the selling prices of new residential houses. The NHPI is used as the inflation measure of new home construction.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Labor Productivity q/q |  | -0.1% | 0.3% | -0.4% | [read]
Definition Labor Productivity measures efficiency in producing goods and services. It's developed by comparing quarter over quarter growth in efficiency. A falling trend indicates future inflationary pressures as the labor cost of producing goods rises.
| 4:00pm | USD | Wholesale Inventories m/m |  | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of goods held by wholesalers. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because wholesalers order more goods from manufacturers when they have depleted inventories.
Tue. 12/12 | 12:50am | JPY | CGPI m/m |  | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition The Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by corporations when purchasing goods. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because when businesses pay more for goods, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer.
| 12:50am | JPY | Import Price Index m/m |  | -2.2% |  | -1.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 1:30am | AUD | NAB Business Confidence |  | 6.0 |  | 6.0 | [read]
Definition National Australia Bank (NAB) Business Confidence measures the mood of domestic firms in non-farm sectors. The indicator is derived from a survey of around 350 small to large sized companies.
| 9:00am | AUD | RBA Governor Stevens Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Glenn Stevens will speak to the Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA), in Melbourne.
| 10:30am | GBP | CPI m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 10:30am | GBP | Core CPI y/y |  | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | [read]
Definition Derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile Food, Energy, Alcohol and Tobacco items. CPI with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend and the central bank uses it as their primary inflation gauge, aiming to keep it at an annualized rate of 2%.
| 10:30am | GBP | RPI m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition The Retail Price Index (RPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. RPI differs from CPI in that it only measures goods and services bought for the purpose of consumption by the vast majority of households.
| 11:00am | EUR | German ZEW Economic Sentiment |  | -19.0 | -25.0 | -28.5 | [read]
Definition Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) Economic Sentiment measures institutional investor sentiment. The monthly indicator reflects the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. For example, if 30% of participants expect the economic situation to improve within the next six months, 30% expect no change and 40% expect the economic situation to deteriorate, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment would take a value of -10. Thus, a positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists.
| 11:00am | EUR | ZEW Economic Sentiment |  | -3 | -9.0 | -11.0 | [read]
Definition Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) Economic Sentiment measures institutional investor sentiment. The monthly indicator reflects the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. For example, if 30% of participants expect the economic situation to improve within the next six months, 30% expect no change and 40% expect the economic situation to deteriorate, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment would take a value of -10. Thus, a positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Trade Balance |  | 3.8B | 4.0B | 4.0B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 2:30pm | USD | Trade Balance |  | -58.9 | -63.0B | -64.3B | [read]
Investica Analysis Lower oil prices should allow a further monthly reduction in the deficit. Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 8:15pm | USD | Interest Rate Statement |  | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.25% | [read]
Investica Analysis The FOMC statement will be the main focus. Definition The central bank's governing body, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), releases an Interest Rate Statement eight times per year. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("fed funds rate"), a brief report of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and most importantly, clues on what the next rate decision will be. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
Wed. 12/13 | 12:30am | AUD | WMI Consumer Sentiment m/m |  | 11.8% |  | -9.7% | [read]
Definition The Westpac Melbourne Institute (WMI) Consumer Sentiment measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future.
| 12:50am | JPY | Trade Balance (f) |  | 0.76T | 0.75T | 1.11T | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase these exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 8:00am | EUR | German CPI m/m (f) |  | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 10:30am | GBP | Unemployment Rate |  | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 10:30am | GBP | Claimant Count Change |  | -5.7K | 1.5K | 1.2K | [read]
Definition Measures the change in the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits over the previous month. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 10:30am | GBP | Average Earnings Index +Bonus q/y |  | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Bank of England will be watching earnings data closely Definition The Average Earnings Index (AEI) measures the average wage, including bonuses, paid to employees. The indicator reading represents the change in the current quarter when compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Industrial Capacity Utilization Rate |  | 84.2% | 85.2% | 85.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of available resources being utilized by factories, mines and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because companies tend to raise their prices when nearing maximum capacity. This price increase (i.e., inflation) will eventually trickle down to the consumer, acting as a leading indicator of CPI and other consumer inflation gauges.
| 2:30pm | CAD | New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m |  | -1.6% | -2.0% | -4.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the unit sales for new vehicles. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because demand for vehicles, as with other expensive durable goods, has historically been a leading indicator of trends in overall consumer spending.
| 2:30pm | USD | Retail Sales m/m |  | 1.0% | 0.1% | -0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy. Retail Sales can have a high market impact because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to surprises.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m |  | 1.1% | 0.2% | -0.4% | [read]
Definition Derivative of Retail Sales that excludes the Automobile Sales component. Automobile Sales make up roughly 25% of Retail Sales, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the picture. Retail Sales with the exclusion of this volatile component is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying trend in consumer spending.
| 4:00pm | USD | Business Inventories m/m |  | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of goods held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because retailers order more goods when they have depleted inventories. This creates more business for the wholesales, who in turn increase their orders to manufacturers.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  | -4.3M |  | -1.1M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 10:45pm | NZD | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.3% | -0.2% | 1.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis The NZD is likely to react more to a weak figure. Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy. Retail Sales can have a high market impact because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to surprises.
Thu. 12/14 | 1:30am | AUD | Dwelling Commencements q/q |  | 0.3% | -2.8% | -2.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly change in the number of residential buildings that have started contstruction.
| 9:30am | CHF | Interest Rate Statement |  | 2.00% | 2.00% | 1.75% | [read]
Investica Analysis The SNB 2007 outlook will be crucial Definition Switzerland's central bank, the Swiss National Bank (SNB), releases an Interest Rate Statement four times per year. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("three-month Libor"), a brief report of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and most importantly, clues on what the next rate decision will be. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
| 10:00am | CHF | SNB 2006 Media News Conference |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will hold it's 2006 end-of-year Media News Conference, in Zurich.
| 10:30am | GBP | Retail Sales m/m |  | 0.3% | -0.1% | 0.9% | [read]
Investica Analysis Weather conditions will play an important role Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy. Retail Sales can have a high market impact because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior, making it susceptible to surprises.
| 11:00am | EUR | Labor Cost Index q/q |  | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | [read]
Definition Measures annualized rate of inflation in the wages, salaries and benefits paid to civilian workers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When businesses pay more for labor, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so traders view wage inflation as a leading indicator of consumer inflation.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Manufacturing Shipments m/m |  | -0.1% | 0.3% | -3.3% | [read]
Definition Measure the total value of shipments made by manufacturers.
| 2:30pm | USD | Import Price Index m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.0% | -2.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  | 304K | 320K | 324K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| tentative | USD | Empire State Business Conditions Index (released early) |  | 23.1 | 16.0 | 26.7 | [read]
Investica Analysis The recent correlation with the national report has been weak. Merlin Says There was a leak at the NY Fed that forced them to release this report a day early. Definition Measures the general business conditions of manufacturers in New York State. The index is derived from a survey that asks respondents to rate the level of general business activity as "decrease", "increase", or "no change." A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because good manufacturing conditions are a sign of a strong economy. Although this survey is limited to manufacturers in New York only, traders pay close attention because the New York Federal Reserve releases it weeks before other major reports on manufacturing (e.g., Industrial Production, ISM Manufacturing Index).
| 10:45pm | NZD | Manufacturing Sales q/q |  | 2.7% | 0.9% | 4.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of sales at the manufacturing level.
Fri. 12/15 | 12:50am | JPY | Tankan Lg. Manufacturers Index |  | 25 | 26 | 24 | [read]
Investica Analysis Only a very strong report would provoke a BOJ tightening Definition Measures the general business conditions of large manufacturers. The index is derived from a survey that asks respondents to rate subjects such as general business conditions, supply and demand conditions for products and inventories, prices, sales, and employment conditions. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Tankan is released four times per year and is one of the nation's most respected gauges of economic welfare because manufacturers play a vital role in the large export industry. Traders pay special attention to the Tankan survey because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Bank of Japan.
| 12:50am | JPY | Tankan Lg. Non-Manufacturers Index |  | 22 | 21 | 20 | [read]
Definition Measures the general business conditions of large service providers. The index is derived from a survey that asks respondents to rate subjects such as general business conditions, supply and demand conditions, prices, sales, and employment conditions. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Japan's manufacturing sector is driven mainly by exports, so the services sector gives a better indication of conditions in the domestic economy. Service providers also employ about half of the nation's workers, so traders follow this survey as a leading indicator of employement.
| 12:50am | JPY | Tertiary Industry Activity Index m/m |  | 2.1% | 1.8% | -1.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the change in spending for services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because about half of the nation's workers are employed in the service industry. Strong spending in the services sector not only signals higher employment rates, but can also be a sign of strong consumer spending in the future.
| 7:00am | USD | Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Investica Analysis Bernanke is unlikely to shift his tone significantly at this point Definition Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak about the Chinese economy at the Academy of Social Sciences, in Beijing. His comments come after he and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson meet with Chinese officials at the first session of the Strategic Economic Dialogue.
| 9:00am | CHF | SNB President Roth Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Jean-Pierre Roth will speak at the conference "Seventy Years After: The Final Collapse of the Gold Standard in September 1936," in Zurich.
| 11:00am | EUR | CPI m/m (f) |  | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 11:00am | EUR | Industrial Production m/m |  | -0.1% | 0.3% | -1.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 2:30pm | USD | CPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.5% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core CPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | [read]
Investica Analysis The core data is key for the Federal Reserve Definition Derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the Food and Energy items. Food and Energy account for roughly 25% of CPI, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the overall picture. CPI with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend.
| 3:00pm | USD | TIC Report |  | 82.3B | 65.0B | 65.1B | [read]
Investica Analysis A figure below US$30bn would unsettle the dollar Definition The Treasury International Capital (TIC) Report measures foreign demand for US debt and assets. Strong demand tends to strengthen the dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase US securities.
| 3:15pm | USD | Industrial Production m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 3:15pm | USD | Capacity Utilization Rate |  | 81.8% | 82.1% | 82.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis A sizeable increase would increase Fed concerns over inflation Definition Measures the percentage of available resources being utilized by factories, mines and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because companies tend to raise their prices when nearing maximum capacity. This price increase (i.e., inflation) will eventually trickle down to the consumer, acting as a leading indicator of CPI and other consumer inflation gauges. Traders pay special attention to the Capacity Utilization Rate because it's one of the only inflation indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
Mon. 12/18 | 9:15am | CHF | Industrial Production q/q |  | -0.5% | -2.6% | 3.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 11:00am | EUR | Trade Balance |  | 1.7B | 100M | -900M | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase the exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production, as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 1:00pm | NZD | Business Confidence |  | -7.7% |  | -14.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of businesses in regard to economic expectations. It's derived from a monthly survey of 1,500 businesses conducted by the National Bank of New Zealand.
| 2:30pm | USD | Current Account |  | -226B | -228B | -218B | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Current Account is a comprehensive accounting of the nation's trade with other countries. It includes the previously reported Trade Balance (which covers trade of goods and services), so traders focus on the income flows and unilateral transfer portions of the report.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Leading Indicators m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic health by combining ten leading indicators including average weekly hours, new orders, consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate spreads.
| 2:30pm | CAD | International Securities Transactions |  | -5.0B | 0.5B | -3.1B | [read]
Definition Measures the value of domestic securities, debt and assets purchased by foreigners in the previous month. Strong demand tends to strengthen the Canadian dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase Canadian securities.
| 7:00pm | USD | NAHB Housing Market Index |  | 32 | 34 | 33 | [read]
Definition The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI) combines several factors including present sales of new homes, sales of new homes expected in the next six months, and traffic of prospective buyers in new homes. The NAHB produces the index through a survey in which respondents are asked to rate the general economy and housing market conditions.
| 10:45pm | NZD | Visitor Arrivals |  | 0.6% |  | 1.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the number short-term overseas visitors who arrive in the country. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because tourism plays an important role in the economy. Almost 10% of the nation's population is employed by the tourism industry, and 10% of the nation's GDP is indirectly related to tourism.
Tue. 12/19 | 1:00am | GBP | RICS House Price Balance |  | 47% | 46% | 48% | [read]
Definition The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) House Price Balance measures the price change of homes in the UK. This leading indicator represents the percentage of chartered surveyors reporting a price rise in their designated area. For instance, a reading of 50% means that 50% more surveyors reported a rise than reported a fall in prices.
| tentative | JPY | Interest Rate Statement |  | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | [read]
Investica Analysis There is a 10% chance of a rate increase Definition The central bank's governing body, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Committee, releases an Interest Rate Statement each month. The statement contains the latest decision regarding changes to the nation's short term interest rate ("overnight call rate"). A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. What makes interest rates so important is that high rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which significantly increases demand for the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. This is what makes inflation-predicting indicators so important. Traders know that rising prices will lead the central bank to raise interest rates, which ultimately leads to a more valuable currency.
| 7:30am | JPY | BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Toshihiko Fukui will speak at a press conference following the Monetary Policy Committee meeting in Tokyo. The BOJ Interest Rate Statement is void of commentary, so traders look to Fukui's post-release press conference for clues about future rate decisions.
| 8:00am | EUR | German PPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
| 10:00am | EUR | German Ifo Business Climate Index |  | 108.7 | 107.0 | 106.8 | [read]
Investica Analysis The index has been resilient over the past few months Definition The Information and Forschung (Ifo) Business Climate Index measures the mood of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesale and retail. The index is derived from a monthly survey of over 7,000 firms where respondents are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. The indicator reading is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situations and the expectations, and can fluctuate between extreme values of -100 (i.e., all responding firms appraise their situation as poor or expect business to become worse) and +100 (i.e., all responding firms assessed their situation as good or expect an improvement in their business).
| 1:00pm | CAD | CPI m/m |  | 0.2% | 0.2% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 1:00pm | CAD | Core CPI m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | [read]
Investica Analysis A negative figure would increase pressure for lower interest rates Definition Derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the eight most volatile items, including fruit, fruit preparations and nuts, vegetables and vegetable preparations, mortgage interest costs, natural gas, fuel oil and other fuel, gasoline, inter-city transportation, and tobacco products and smokers' supplies. CPI with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend and the central bank uses it as their primary inflation gauge, aiming to keep it at an annualized rate of 2%.
| 2:30pm | USD | PPI m/m |  | 2.0% | 0.4% | -1.6% | [read]
Investica Analysis Energy prices will be less important this month Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core PPI m/m |  | 1.3% | 0.2% | -0.9% | [read]
Definition Derivative of the Producer Price Index (PPI) that excludes the Food and Energy items. Although Food and Energy can be very volatile from month to month, they play an important role in pass-through inflation. Therefore Core PPI usually has less impact than the overall PPI.
| 2:30pm | USD | Building Permits |  | 1.51M | 1.54M | 1.55M | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new construction intentions. This data is a leading indicator for the construction industry since the issuance of a building permit is one of the first steps in the construction process.
| 2:30pm | USD | Housing Starts |  | 1.59M | 1.53M | 1.49M | [read]
Investica Analysis Weather conditions are important over the winter months Definition Measures the annualized number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed throughout the previous month.
| 7:00pm | USD | Dallas Fed President Fisher Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Dallas Federal Reserve President Richard Fisher talks about the economy at the Rotary Club of Longview, in Texas.
| 10:45pm | NZD | Current Account |  | -4.6B | -5.2B | -3.1B | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Current Account is a comprehensive accounting of the nation's trade with other countries. It includes the previously reported Trade Balance (which covers trade of goods and services), so traders focus on the income flows and unilateral transfer portions of the report.
Wed. 12/20 | 9:00am | EUR | ECB President Trichet Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet will speak before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament, in Brussels.
| 9:15am | CHF | PPI m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
| 10:30am | GBP | BOE Meeting Minutes |  | 9-0 | 9-0 | 7-2 | [read]
Investica Analysis The BOE will wait until 2007 before making a further judgement Definition The Bank of England (BOE) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the bank's meeting held about two weeks earlier. The minutes give traders insight into the latest interest rate decision and policy shifts.
| 10:30am | GBP | Public Sector Net Borrowing |  | 9.9B | 9.9B | 1.6B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference between spending and income for the government and public corporations. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of borrowing are a signal of investment and economic expansion.
| 12:00pm | GBP | CBI Distributive Trades Survey |  | 25 | -5 | -9 | [read]
Definition The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Distributive Trades Survey measures the health of the retail sector by asking executives if their firm experienced an increase or decrease in sales compared to a year ago. A positive number indicates that more retailers reported an increase. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Wholesale Sales m/m |  | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of sales at the wholesale level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because increased sales at the wholesale level are a good indication that there is high consumer demand at the retail level.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  | -6.3M |  | -4.3M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 10:45pm | NZD | GDP q/q |  | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | [read]
Investica Analysis The NZD has priced in a lot of good news Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. More importantly, the central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy. The combination of these effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency.
Thu. 12/21 | 12:50am | JPY | Trade Balance (p) |  | 916B | 598B | 610B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase the exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production, as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 12:50am | JPY | All Industries Activity Index m/m |  | 1.7% | 1.5% | -0.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the change in spending for goods and services. This indicator is similar to the Tertiary Industry Activity Index released a few days prior, but it adds data from the primary sector, including fishing, farming, forestry, mining, and manufacturing.
| 8:15am | CHF | Trade Balance |  | 1.30B | 1.42B | 1.58B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase the exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production, as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
| 10:30am | GBP | GDP q/q (f) |  | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. More importantly, the central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy. The combination of these effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency.
| 2:30pm | CAD | GDP m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. More importantly, the central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy. The combination of these effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.7% | 0.0% | -1.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy and has a sizable impact on GDP. Traders pay close attention to Retail Sales because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior and is susceptible to surprises.
| 2:30pm | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m |  | -0.7% | -0.1% | -0.9% | [read]
Investica Analysis Underlying sales should be firm Definition Derivative of Retail Sales that excludes the Automobile Sales component. Automobile Sales make up roughly 25% of Retail Sales, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the picture. Retail Sales with the exclusion of this volatile component is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying trend in consumer spending.
| 2:30pm | USD | GDP Annualized q/q (f) |  | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | [read]
Definition Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. GDP is the broadest measure of activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. To foreign investors, a strong economy is viewed favorably because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. More importantly, the central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy. The combination of these effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency.
| 2:30pm | USD | GDP Deflator Annualized q/q (f) |  | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | [read]
Definition The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator measures the annualized quarterly implied rate of inflation for all economic activity. The deflator is used to calculate the difference between nominal and real GDP. The Federal Reserve takes special note of this indicator because it is the economy's broadest measure of inflation.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  | 315K | 310K | 304K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 4:00pm | USD | Leading Index m/m |  | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic health by combining ten leading indicators including average weekly hours, new orders, consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate spreads. The index is published monthly by The Conference Board, a leading private US research group, but traders tend to pay little attention because the components that make up the index are reported at an earlier date.
| 6:00pm | USD | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index |  | -4.3 | 3.5 | 5.1 | [read]
Investica Analysis The index will be important for market sentiment Definition Measures the general business conditions of manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district. The index is derived from a survey that asks respondents to rate the level of general business activity as 'decrease', 'increase', or 'no change'. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because good manufacturing conditions are a sign of a strong economy. Although this survey is limited to manufacturers in Philadelphia only, traders pay close attention because the Philadelphia Federal Reserve releases it weeks before other major reports on manufacturing (e.g., Industrial Production, ISM Manufacturing Index).
| 7:00pm | USD | Richmond Fed President Lacker Speaks |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Richmond Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker will speak about the economic outlook, in Charlotte. Audience questions expected.
Fri. 12/22 | tentative | EUR | German CPI m/m (p) |  | 0.8% |  | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 6:00am | JPY | BOJ Meeting Minutes |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the bank's meeting held about one month earlier. The minutes give traders insight into the latest interest rate decision and policy shifts.
| 8:00am | EUR | German Import Price Index m/m |  | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly rate of inflation for imported goods.
| 8:50am | EUR | French Consumer Spending m/m |  | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | [read]
Definition Measures the total amount spent by consumers on goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because consumer spending is a major driver of the economy, accounting for about two-thirds of GDP.
| 10:00am | EUR | Current Account |  | 0.0B | 1.1B | -0.3B | [read]
Definition Measures the quarterly difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The Current Account is a comprehensive accounting of the nation's trade with other countries. It includes the previously reported Trade Balance (which covers trade of goods and services), so traders focus on the income flows and unilateral transfer portions of the report.
| 10:30am | GBP | Index of Services 3m/3m |  | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the gross value added (GVA) of all service sectors. GVA is the difference between the value of a service provided (output), and the value of the goods and services used up in providing that service (intermediate consumption).
| 2:30pm | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m |  | 1.9% | 1.2% | -8.3% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for hard goods with a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because an increased level of purchase orders signals that manufacturers will be busy in the months to come as they work to fill the orders. Traders watch this indicator closely because of it's predictive abilities.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |  | -1.1% | 1.1% | -1.7% | [read]
Investica Analysis Recent capital spending data has been disappointing Definition Derivative of Durable Goods Orders that excludes the Transportation components. Orders for aircraft occur in periodic burst and can severely distort the underlying trend, so traders tend to focus more on this indicator than the overall Durable Goods Orders.
| 2:30pm | USD | Personal Spending m/m |  | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the total amount spent by consumers on goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because consumer spending is a major driver of the economy, accounting for about two-thirds of GDP.
| 2:30pm | USD | Personal Income m/m |  | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the total amount of income received by individuals. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more.
| 2:30pm | USD | PCE Price Index m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. Like CPI, it reflects the price change in consumer goods and services. PCE differs slightly from CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Traders watch the PCE Price Index closely because it's the Federal Reserve's preferred consumer inflation indicator.
| 2:30pm | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |  | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | [read]
Investica Analysis The Fed watches the core rate closely. Definition Derivative of the PCE Price Index that excludes the Food and Energy items. Food and Energy account for roughly 25% of PCE, but they can be very volatile from month to month and can distort the overal picture. PCE with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend.
| 4:00pm | USD | Consumer Sentiment (f) |  | 91.7 | 90.2 | 90.2 | [read]
Definition Measures consumer attitudes concerning both the present situation and future expectations. It's derived from a monthly 500-person survey conducted by the University of Michigan. Higher sentiment levels are a leading indicator of rising consumer spending, which accounts for a third of the economy.
Mon. 12/25 | all day | ALL | Holiday: Christmas Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition US, UK, European and Canadian financial markets will be closed in observance of Christmas Day. Japanese markets will remain open.
Tue. 12/26 | 12:30am | JPY | CPI m/m |  | -0.5% | 0.0% | -0.3% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 12:30am | JPY | Core CPI m/m |  | -0.2% | 0.0% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition Derivative of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the volatile Fresh Food items. CPI with the exclusion of these volatile components is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend and the central bank uses it as their primary inflation gauge, aiming to keep it at an annualized rate of 2%.
| 12:30am | JPY | Tokyo CPI m/m |  | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.2% | [read]
Definition The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers living in Tokyo, the nation's most populated city. Tokyo CPI tends to have a greater market impact than national CPI because it gives traders the most recent reading on consumer inflation. Tokyo is a relatively small population to survey, allowing CPI to be compiled faster and released about one month before national results.
| 12:30am | JPY | Core Tokyo CPI m/m |  | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Derivative of the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) that excludes the Fresh Food items. Fresh Food purchases can be volatile from month to month and can distort the overall picture, so CPI with the exclusion of this volatile component is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend.
| 12:30am | JPY | Unemployment Rate |  | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 12:30am | JPY | Overall Household Spending y/y |  | -0.7% | -2.1% | -2.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the total amount spent by households on goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because consumer spending is a major driver of the economy, accounting for about half of GDP.
| all day | EUR | Holiday: Saint Stephen's Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition European financial markets will be closed in observance of Saint Stephen's Day.
| all day | GBP | Holiday: Boxing Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition UK financial markets will be closed in observance of Boxing Day.
| all day | CAD | Holiday: Boxing Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Canadian financial markets will be closed in observance of Boxing Day.
| 4:00pm | USD | Richmond Fed Index |  | -6 |  | 7 | [read]
Definition Measures the general business conditions of manufacturers in the Richmond Federal Reserve district. The index is derived from a survey that asks respondents to rate the level of general business activity as 'decrease', 'increase', or 'no change'. This report usually has little impact because the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserve release similar reports about two weeks earlier.
Wed. 12/27 | 12:50am | JPY | Retail Sales y/y |  | -0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy and has a sizable impact on GDP. Traders pay close attention to Retail Sales because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior and is susceptible to surprises.
| 12:50am | JPY | Large Retailers' Sales y/y |  | -0.7% | -0.4% | -1.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the change in value of sales at the nation's largest retailers.
| 6:00am | JPY | Housing Starts y/y |  | 4.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in the number of new single-family homes or buildings constructed.
| 4:00pm | USD | New Home Sales |  | 1.05M | 1.02M | 1.00M | [read]
Definition Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month.
Thu. 12/28 | 12:50am | JPY | Industrial Production m/m |  | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. Traders pay special attention to Industrial Production because it's one of the few growth indicators that is produced directly by the Federal Reserve.
| 2:30am | JPY | Average Cash Earnings y/y |  | -0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the wages paid to jobholders.
| 8:00am | GBP | Nationwide House Prices m/m |  | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in the average price for a house in the UK. It serves as a leading inflation indicator for the housing market.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  | 317K | 315K | 315K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 4:00pm | USD | Consumer Confidence |  | 109.0 | 101.0 | 102.9 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 4:00pm | USD | Chicago PMI |  | 52.4 | 50.0 | 49.9 | [read]
Investica Analysis Another figure below 50.0 would undermine dollar confidence. Definition The National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion.
| 4:00pm | USD | Existing Home Sales |  | 6.28M | 6.20M | 6.24M | [read]
Investica Analysis New home sales recorded a small monthly increase. Definition Measures the annualized number of existing homes sold in the previous month. Existing Home Sales make up a larger portion of the housing market than New Home Sales, and therefore are an important indicator of trends in the housing market. This indicator is published monthly by the National Association of Realtors.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  | -8.1M |  | -6.3M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
| 7:39pm | EUR | French Unemployment Rate |  | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
Fri. 12/29 | 12:30am | JPY | Manufacturing PMI |  | 53.1 |  | 53.7 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 3:00am | NZD | M3 Money Supply y/y |  | 15.5% | 8.0% | 14.1% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in currency outstanding. Higher levels of currency are viewed as deflationary and can have a devaluing effect on the currency.
| 8:00am | EUR | German Consumer Confidence |  | 8.7 | 10.0 | 9.4 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 10:00am | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y |  | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the annual change in currency outstanding. Higher levels of currency are viewed as deflationary and can have a devaluing effect on the currency . M3 Money Supply is calculated as follows: M1 = currency in circulation + overnight deposits M2 = M1 + deposits with agreed maturity up to 2 years + deposits redeemable up to 3 months' notice M3 = M2 + repurchase agreements + money market fund shares/units and money market paper + debt securities issued up to 2 years
| 10:30am | GBP | Mortgage Equity Withdrawal |  | 11.8B | 11.5B | 11.3B | [read]
Definition Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) measures quarterly new borrowing secured on housing, but not used for house purchases or home improvements.
| 11:30am | CHF | Leading Index m/m |  | 1.60 | 1.65 | 1.73 | [read]
Definition Measures overall economic health by combining 25 leading indicators including consumer expectations, housing permits, stock prices, and interest rate spreads. The index is published monthly by the Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research (KOF), a leading private Swiss research group.
Mon. 01/01 | all day | ALL | Holiday: New Years Day |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition All financial markets will be closed in observance of New Years Day.
| 11:30pm | AUD | Manufacturing PMI |  |  |  | 54.4 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
Tue. 01/02 | 9:55am | EUR | German Manufacturing PMI |  |  | 58.3 | 58.3 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:00am | EUR | Manufacturing PMI |  |  | 56.5 | 56.6 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Manufacturing PMI |  |  | 53.0 | 52.6 | [read]
Definition The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| all day | USD | National Day of Mourning |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition US stock markets will be closed in observance of the recent death of Gerald R. Ford, the 38th President of the US. Other US financial markets remain open.
| all day | JPY | Holiday: New Years Holiday |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition Japanese financial markets will be closed on Jan 1st - Jan 3rd in observance of the New Years Holiday.
Wed. 01/03 | tentative | EUR | German Retail Sales m/m |  |  | 0.4% | -0.5% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of sales at the retail level. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which is a major driver of the economy and has a sizable impact on GDP. Traders pay close attention to Retail Sales because it is usually the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior and is susceptible to surprises.
| 9:30am | CHF | SVME PMI |  |  | 66.0 | 67.0 | [read]
Definition The Schweizerischer Verband für Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME) Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 9:55am | EUR | German Unemployment Rate |  |  | 10.1% | 10.2% | [read]
Definition Measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 10:30am | GBP | Construction PMI |  |  | 54.5 | 54.8 | [read]
Definition The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the construction sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 2:15pm | USD | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change |  |  |  | 158K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of new jobs created in the previous month, excluding the farming industry. ADP, a leading provider of employment solutions for businesses, releases this indicator two days before the highly anticipated official Nonfarm Employment Change. ADP claims that this indicator has predictive value in regard to official statistics, but it hasn't yet gained acclaim from traders due to it's short history.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Manufacturing Index |  |  | 51.0 | 49.5 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices |  |  | 54.0 | 53.5 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Prices measures the monthly inflation experienced by manufacturing organizations when purchasing materials and services. The ISM surveys 400 firms to produce this index.
| 4:00pm | USD | Construction Spending m/m |  |  | -0.6% | -1.0% | [read]
Definition Measures the monthly change in value of new construction projects.
| 8:00pm | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |  |  |  |  | [read]
Definition The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes are a verbatim record of the committee's meeting held about two weeks earlier. The minutes give traders insight into the latest interest rate decision and policy shifts.
| tentative | USD | Domestic Vehicle Sales |  |  | 12.5M | 12.3M | [read]
Definition Measures the annualized number of vehicles sold by domestic manufacturers in the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because demand for vehicles, as with other expensive durable goods, has historically been a leading indicator of trends in overall consumer spending.
| 10:45pm | NZD | Trade Balance |  |  | -0.90B | -1.17B | [read]
Definition Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported over a given period. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When higher levels of exports are sold to the world, demand for the nation's currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase the exports. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP because high demand for exports creates increased employment and production, as domestic factories work to fill this demand.
Thu. 01/04 | 7:45am | CHF | CPI m/m |  |  | 0.1% | 0.0% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 9:55am | EUR | German Services PMI |  |  | 56.9 | 56.8 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:00am | EUR | Services PMI |  |  | 57.5 | 57.6 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Services PMI |  |  | 60.0 | 59.8 | [read]
Definition The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 10:30am | GBP | Net Lending to Individuals m/m |  |  | 11.0B | 10.9B | [read]
Definition Measures the total value of outstanding consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because historically consumer borrowing and spending have a high degree of correlation.
| 11:00am | EUR | CPI m/m (p) |  |  | 1.9% | 1.8% | [read]
Definition The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release.
| 11:30am | GBP | Consumer Confidence |  |  | -6 | -7 | [read]
Definition Measures the mood of consumers in regard to economic conditions. The reading is derived from a monthly survey that asks respondents to evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. GfK, a leading German market research company, publishes this indicator monthly. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. When consumers are optimistic they tend to purchase more goods and services, which stimulates the economy.
| 2:30pm | CAD | IPPI m/m |  |  | 0.5% | -0.1% | [read]
Definition The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the rate of inflation for goods as they are leaving the plant gate. Unlike other inflation measures, the IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it, such as transportation, wholesale, and retail costs.
| 2:30pm | CAD | RMPI m/m |  |  | 1.0% | -2.8% | [read]
Definition The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures the rate of inflation for raw materials purchased by manufacturers. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because when manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer.
| 2:30pm | USD | Unemployment Claims |  |  | 318K | 317K | [read]
Definition Measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time over the past week. A falling trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Working people tend to spend more, and consumer spending is a major driver of the economy. However, unemployment usually draws little attention because traders view it as a lagging indicator.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index |  |  | 58.0 | 58.9 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.
| 4:00pm | USD | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices |  |  | 55.0 | 55.6 | [read]
Definition The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Prices Index measures the monthly inflation experienced by service based organizations when purchasing materials and services. The ISM surveys 400 firms to produce this index.
| 4:00pm | USD | Factory Orders m/m |  |  | 1.5% | -4.7% | [read]
Definition Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods. Factory Orders tend to have a low impact because it reports much of the same information contained in the Durable Goods Orders report released over a week earlier.
| 4:30pm | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |  |  |  | -8.1M | [read]
Definition The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly increase in barrels of commercial crude oil held in inventory by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
Preferred Brokers Preferred Services Contact Disclaimer